Author Archives: cwcarroll2

This Is What I Know – Championship Week

On August 7, just a little over four months ago, ten members of Showtime 3.0 were excited for a new fantasy season to begin. I began this journey of weekly posts by telling my readers what I knew about the first round of our upcoming draft. Like all things that are good, the fantasy season must come to an end. Ten has become two, and that season will end this weekend. The winner between Alex and Cribb will have a very Merry beginning of their 2014 Christmas. In a year that I incorrectly “knew” a lot of things, allow me to be smug for just a moment. I have been telling my readers for some time that Alex and Cribb were the best two teams in the league. Without further ado, as the old adage goes, I will preview this Championship matchup.

Cribb (6) vs. Alex (1)

Championship

Fact One – If this league’s structure followed that of the NFL, these two teams would have played last weekend and Cribb would have won 82.60 – 69.84. In this scenario, Deavers would be facing Cribb this weekend.

Fact Two – In the regular season Alex averaged 86.72 points per week. Since the playoffs started, Alex has only averaged 67.56 points over the past two weeks. To compare, Cribb averaged 80.93 points during the regular season. His playoff average has climbed to 104.81 points per game. This difference was largely influenced by his 127.02 point showing in Week Fourteen, but clearly shows his team has outscored Alex’s over the past two weeks.

Fact Three – This matchup will be the third between Alex and Cribb this season. Cribb prevailed in each of the previous meetings, averaging 114.41 points in those two games. Alex did not lose quietly in either of those matchups, as he averaged 96.96 points. In fact, Alex was the third highest scorer, in the league, each of the weekends he faced Cribb. Had one of those outcomes gone the other way, I would have likely made the playoffs, lost to Joe, Joe would have beaten Tov, and Alex would be facing Joe this weekend.

The fact that Alex lost those two weeks had no bearing on his outcome, as he won the regular season championship. I extended fact three for two reasons. The first reason was simply to show how high scoring and competitive these two have played against each other this season. Reason number two was another chance to allow my readers to visualize how competitive and unfair this league, and fantasy football as a whole, can be. A rule change in fact one would allow Deavers to make the championship. If the third highest score, earned a win, in Week Four or Week Eight, Joe would have made the championship.

I plan to wrap up the season with an additional post soon. In that post, I may attempt to prove that Zach could be competing for this championship, instead of finishing 1-12.  If, ifs and buts were candy and nuts, we would all have a Merry Christmas!

Fact Four – In Week Four and Week Eight, Cribb started Brandon Marshall (of the Bears) and Ahmad Bradshaw. Since then, both of these players sustained injuries and currently reside on the Injured Reserve List. Odell Beckham Jr. and Frank Gore (also currently injured) replace those key contributors in Cribb’s lineup.

Fact Five – Alex is currently projected to win this matchup 89.08 – 86.20. Nearly sixteen of Alex’s projected points will have to wait until Monday Night Football, when Jeremy Hill and Emmanuel Sanders take the field. Cribb has no players participating on Monday Night.

Why I think Alex will win – I have said Alex owns the best fantasy football team in our league since our draft in August. The task of beating a team three times in one season is very difficult. In Week Four, Larry Donnell scored three touchdowns for Cribb. Alex was also without Emmanuel Sanders and Giovani Bernard/Jeremy Hill, due to bye week scheduling, during the Week Four matchup. Cribb has multiple injury concerns entering this weekend. I expect both of these teams to trend back toward their regular season averages, as Alex has underperformed and Cribb has significantly exceeded his regular season average in recent weeks.

Why I think Cribb will win – Cribb is in Alex’s head, as Alex does not lose well. Cribb’s team is producing at a much higher level, as he has outscored Alex each of the past three weeks. If both are healthy and play, Arian Foster and Jamaal Charles make up the best running back duo in Showtime 3.0. Alex’s best running back, McCoy, plays a surprisingly great rush defense in Washington. The last time McCoy faced the Redskins, he rushed nineteen times for twenty-two yards and earned 0.10 points. The fact that the Eagles scored three rushing touchdowns, none by McCoy, last week against the Cowboys has to be concerning for Alex.

**Editing Note –  How did I miss this key fact?  Alex, himself, pointed out a possible advantage that Cribb has this week.  Alex will start Andrew Luck.  Cribb will start TY Hilton, Andrew Luck’s number one receiver.  Receiving yards and receiving touchdowns are worth more points than passing yards and passing touchdowns, in this league.  Who Luck completes passes to may be the number one factor surrounding this championship.

I promised the Fantasy Football Gods that I would not make matchup predictions going forward, so I will not. Looking at the starting players and their game times, I expect Alex to be playing from behind most of the day on Sunday. Monday Night Football should tell the tale and complete another season for Showtime 3.0. As for my buy-in, “Keep the change you filthy animals”.

Change

I do have a chance to win a sixteen team PPR league championship this weekend (see screenshot below for matchup, my team is on the left). This league has been around for many years and my fondest memory was beating Alex in the 2011 Championship.

Caverns

During that 2011 season I rostered Aaron Rodgers, Matt Forte, Julio Jones, Jimmy Graham, Jordy Nelson, and Aaron Hernandez.  I still remember watching Jordy Nelson catching two of Aaron Rodger’s five touchdown passes on that Christmas Night, while giving Chelsey a Tony Romo jersey on our first Christmas together.  I’m sure Alex has tried to forget that Christmas, so I will provide a link to that game log, courtesy of NFL.com.

http://www.nfl.com/gamecenter/2011122500/2011/REG16/bears@packers?icampaign=GC_schedule_rr#menu=gameinfo%7CcontentId%3A09000d5d8256bce9&tab=recap

NFL Picks

Week Sixteen
Jaguars
Redskins
Chargers
Dolphins
Ravens
Lions
Panthers
Saints
Packers
Steelers
Patriots
Rams
Cowboys
Bills
Seahawks
Broncos

Week Seventeen
Cowboys
Falcons
Ravens
Colts
Packers
Texans
Chiefs
Dolphins
Vikings
Patriots
Eagles
Steelers
Saints
Broncos
49ers
Seahawks

Merry Christmas, Happy Holidays, and Happy New Year. I will log another post after the Holidays. If you have followed my posts, you already know that post will have no direction so I make no promises. In the meantime enjoy your families, last minute shopping, tangible gifts, intangible gifts, and great football. It’s the most wonderful time of the year! And, THIS IS WHAT I KNOW!

**Lineups and projections can change.  I am not responsible for faulty information or typos, as I do not have a research or editing team.

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This Is What I Know – Final Four

I’m glad I was eliminated before the playoffs started.  The Cowboys played well on Thursday Night Football and my weekend was stress free.  When Brandon LaFell lost a fumble on Sunday Night, the result of the play had no bearing on my mood.  I had less beer, I took a nap, and I skipped Monday Night Football to watch Breaking Bad with my wife.  Speaking of Breaking Bad, we have six episodes left and look forward to finishing the series this weekend.  Speaking of this weekend, and my wife, Chelsey has a birthday on Friday.  If you are reading this post, follow her and wish her a Happy Birthday on Twitter at @ChelseyDunn12.  She does not use Twitter very often, so she will be surprised by any tweets sent her way.

The two matchups I previewed last week had very different outcomes, which could have been predicted.  The “battle” that occurred between the “Men” of the Stark division totaled 107.07.  If there is any confusion regarding my last sentence, the two teams combined for 107.07 points.  To put that point total into perspective, Joe scored 112.55 against Cribb and lost.  That fact explains another reason I am glad I was eliminated the week before.  Think about it!  You made the six man playoffs.  You scored more points than two of the four teams could score together.  Yet, you are preparing to play for fifth place.  As I was last week, I am sure Joe is sick.  I have said from the very beginning that this league is very competitive and a lot of times unfair.  Had I made the playoffs (I missed the playoffs by 0.04 total season points, if you did not read last week.), Joe would have advanced and I would have been bitter this week instead of last week.

Cribb 127.02 – Joe 112.55

Deavers 62.64 – Paul 44.43

This week Cribb advances to play Tov and Deavers will play Alex.  I will quickly provide some facts for each of these matchups.

Cribb (6) vs. Tov (2)

CRIBB TOV 2

Fact One – Cribb outscored Tov by 33.67 points, during the regular season, and beat Tov in Week Eleven.

Fact Two – Had these two teams played last week, Cribb would have won 127.02 to 94.40.

Fact Three – Tov has been putting up his best weeks of the season over the past three weeks, averaging 115.06 per week since his loss to Cribb.

Fact Four – During that time frame, Cribb has averaged 100.52 points per week.

Fact Five – Tov will have the first and last chance to make an impact in this matchup, as only he has starting positions playing on Thursday Night (St. Louis Defense) and Monday Night (Drew Brees).

I expect a high scoring game between these two.

Alex (1) vs. Deavers (4)

ALEX DEAVERS

Fact One – Alex outscored Deavers by 195.24 points, during the regluar season, and beat Deavers in Week Five.

Fact Two – Had these two teams played last week, Alex would have won 65.28 to 62.64.

Fact Three – Deavers has not scored 70.00 points in a week since Week Nine, five weeks ago.

Fact Four – During that time frame, Alex’s lowest score that mattered was 76.01 points. (65.28 last week during his first round bye)

Fact Five – Alex will need to post a decent lead before Monday morning, as Deavers has Mark Ingram and Jimmy Graham suiting up on Monday Night Football.

Everything I mentioned points to Alex winning this matchup, but I expect him to sweat through Monday Night.

NFL Picks
Rams
Falcons
Giants
Patriots
Chiefs
Colts
Ravens
Packers
Panthers
Johnny Football
Jets
Broncos
Lions
Seahawks
Cowboys
Saints

HAPPY BIRTHDAY, HONEY! THIS IS WHAT I KNOW!

**Typos and incorrect predictions are likely, as I do not have an editing team.

This Is What I Know – Divisional Semi-Finals

Fact One – I won my must win matchup against Deavers last week by 27.65 points.

Fact Two – Lucas lost his must win matchup against Tov last week by 68.11 points.

Fact Three – Cribb won his must win matchup against Zach last week by 2.14 points.

Fact Four – Cribb and I entered Monday Night Football knowing that one of us would face Joe in Week One of the fantasy playoffs, but I needed help. I needed Mike Wallace to score more than 6.2 points or Lamar Miller to score 10.1 points. I had two reasonable chances to make the 2014 ShowTime 3.0 Playoffs.

Fact Five – I missed the playoffs by four one hundredths of a point (0.04).

STANDINGS Final

I stared at my iPad screen in disbelieve. I got out of bed and pulled up Stat Tracker on my laptop. Stat Tracker said I was in!  But, in that instance I noticed TY Hilton was credited with a tackle and a forced fumble.  Stat Tracker was not accounting for the tackle at the time.  At nearly midnight, I was frantically searching different sites to confirm that Hilton should receive 2.5 points for a tackle and a forced fumble. The next morning I put into perspective exactly how one could lose by 0.04 points. A tackle is 0.50 points. An assisted tackle is work 0.25. A reception will earn you 0.10 points in ShowTime 3.0. One extra rushing yard or one more receiving yard, over the course of thirteen weeks, would have been enough for me to clinch a spot in this year’s playoffs. What could possibly be worth as little as 0.04 points? Over thirteen weeks, I missed the playoffs by less than two passing yards, or one too many Tom Brady kneels from the victory formation. In fact, the fact that TY Hilton scored the equivalent of fifty rushing or receiving yards on one “defensive” play beat me.

I found this clip of the play that earned Hilton those points. I have thrown my challenge flag and I hope that the stats personnel at yahoo.com take a close look at this play before stat corrections are released tomorrow morning. Have a look and judge for yourself, via NFL.com. (You may have to copy/paste the link below, and sorry for the thirty second ad.)

fantasy_u_challengeflag_300

http://www.nfl.com/gamecenter/2014113003/2014/REG13/redskins@colts#menu=gameinfo%7CcontentId%3A0ap3000000436111&tab=analyze&analyze=playbyplay

Upon further review, my very biased eyes see Coby Fleener in the process of making a solo tackle, Hilton swipes at the ball, and knocks the ball loose. This play absolutely should result in TY Hilton earning two points for forcing a fumble. While trying to understand how a tackle was credited to Hilton, I told myself that because no potion of the runner’s body touched the ground the “tackle” occurred when the ball left the runner’s hands. Even with that self explanation, I was not satisfied. I watched a few more times and I simply cannot understand how Coby Fleener was not credited with at least an assisted tackle on this play. Furthermore, on a year that I lost forty-two points on fourteen lost fumbles, how does the clip you just watched earn an offensive player 2.5 points. In one (substituted four letter) word, sick!

I titled this week’s post “Divisional Semi-Finals”, as the two matchups this week are between divisional foes. Each division had three teams fortunate enough to make the playoffs, and in Week One four of those teams will face each other for the third time this season. The other two teams, Alex and Tov, earned a bye to the second round. I am going to attempt to give five facts for each matchup.

(6) Cribb vs. (3) Joe

Fact One – This season Cribb averaged 80.93 points per game, while Joe averaged 82.25.

Fact Two – Joe beat Cribb both times they played during the regular season, both by single digits.

Fact Three – Joe is currently projected to win this matchup, 91.32 – 84.24.

Fact Four – These two teams will field five players on Thursday Night Football between the Cowboys and Bears. I expect a lot of fantasy points between those two teams.

Fact Five – Cribb will have to wait around, if he is fortunate enough to have a lead on Sunday evening, as only Joe has players participating on Sunday and Monday nights (Gostkowski and Worrilow).

CRIBB v JOE

**If a stat correction saves me, I will face Joe. Thursday Night Football will still be important as I own Murray and Forte. Sunday Night Football would become more important because I own Brady, Gronkowski, and LaFell.

5) Paul vs. 4) Deavers

Fact One – This year Paul averaged 70.27 points per game, while Deavers averaged 71.70.

Fact Two – Each of these teams earned a win against the other, during the regular season.

Fact Three – Deavers is currently projected to win this matchup, 77.31 – 69.34.

Fact Four – Each team will have four players remaining after the one o’clock games are finished on Sunday.

Fact Five – If Deavers can wake up Monday Morning with a lead, he will have to hold off Roddy White on Monday Night Football to advance.

PAUL v DEAV

NFL Picks

Cowboys
Steelers
Rams
Giants
Saints
Vikings
Ravens
Colts
Lions
Texans
Broncos
Cardinals
Seahawks
49ers
Patriots
Packers

The last two teams mentioned put on a heck of a show last Sunday, and Stat Corrections are posted on Thursday mornings. THIS IS WHAT I KNOW!

*Typos likely, as I do not have an editing team and anything fantasy football related is tough to swallow this week.

This Is What I Know – Week Thirteen

The one weekly fact behind this post is that I know next to nothing.  And while I have enjoyed trying to make logical sense of the NFL and ShowTime 3.0, that feat is nearly impossible.  I wanted to fulfill my weekly post by sharing five factual notes, that I know to be one-hundred percent true.  This five fact format will be a transition into future posts, as I have devoted way too much time to this post this season.  That time paired with the Holidays, end of the regular season, and my likely elimination from the post season requires me to shorten my time spent on this post.

Fact One – This time of the year is known as the Holiday Season.  It begins with a Thanksgiving dinner, followed by decorating, shopping, and most of all family.  The key to all of those activities is the family aspect. In all religions, quality time with the family comes first during the holidays.  I consider the members of ShowTime 3.0 to be a family of ten, and I wish you all the best of luck.

Fact Two – During this special time of the year, we have the privilege of watching some of the best football of the season.  The Eagles and the Cowboys played for the first time on Thursday.  Hopefully the second games is more competitive.  The Seahawks and 49ers play again, after a defensive bout Thursday Night.  This Sunday’s game between the Patriots and the Packers should be great television.  One is family, and number two is football.

Fact Three – ShowTime 3.0 begins a new season on Tuesday morning.  Alex, Joe, Deavers, Tov, and Paul have clinched a spot in that season.  Lucas appears to be the favorite to become the sixth, but Cribb and I have a bit of hope.

Fact Four – The average winning score last week was 91.51, heavily influenced by Tov’s eleven touchdowns and 118.30 points.  On the other hand, Lucas gained his one game lead for sixth place with only 69.99 points, third worst in the league last week.  You would never guess who was playing Tov…

Fact Five – Six teams, and a lot of fantasy players, have already completed their games this week. This fact gives us a more clear cut look at projections for the rest of the weekend. Right now, the projections suggest Alex will be our regular season champion and Tov or Deavers will receive the second bye. Due to my lack of scoring on Thursday, it seems the race for sixth is between Lucas and Cribb.

I had an epiphany last week and will no longer make ShowTime 3.0 picks. Monday Night defeats three out of the past four weeks made one fact clear to me. The Fantasy God’s are not on my side. After all, who am I to try to predict what may happen in a a volatile fantasy football league within the most volatile league of professional sports? The fact that I attempted to accurately predict those outcomes, for twelve weeks, was asinine. People get paid to do this and still make bad calls. I have a full time job, an hour commute (each way), and family time that means so much to us all. Cribb said it best, in regards to potentially being eliminated, on Thursday morning by saying, “I’m excited to enjoy football again though”.

I will take a loss for the three games I missed on Thursday, although I would have most likely picked the Lions, Cowboys, and Seahawks.

Colts
Texans
Bills
Ravens
Giants
Bengals
Rams
Saints
Vikings
Cardinals
Patriots
Broncos
Dolphins

Let me conclude this week’s post by apologizing to the Fantasy Football Gods, and promising to never step on their toes again (unless this extremely fun, competitive, depressing, confusing, Fantasy Life becomes my real job). I intentionally used Fantasy Life as a tribute to Matthew Berry’s book about stories he has encountered as a Fantasy Football player and analyst. If you have not read it, read it! (The English Language is almost as confusing as Fantasy Football.) THIS IS WHAT I KNOW!

*I cannot be held accountable for bad predictions or typos, as I do not have an editing or research team.

This Is What I Know – Week Twelve

My fifteenth post comes to you from a depressed state of mind. Three out of the past four Monday nights, I have sat in front of my television and watched my playoff hopes become smaller and smaller. You remember my post after the Redskins beat the Cowboys and the unwillingness of the Cowboys to run the football more. I certainly remember the Colts erupting against the Giants, Alex’s team erasing my twenty point lead in the first half, and receiving a picture text from my opponent shirtless and boasting. (If, and only if, I beat Alex this season you will see exactly what I had to go through that night.) I went into the Steelers and Titans matchup needing Antonio Brown to gain less than one-hundred yards and stay out of the end zone. Brown’s final catch of the game, with only 9:07 remaining in the game, was a twelve yard touchdown reception. Including that catch, Mr. Brown finished the game with ninety-one yards. The story does not end there, as I will face Drew Brees and Justin Forsett on Monday Night Football in Week Twelve. If I have any hopes of a playoff berth, that matchup will most likely be a must win for me. Stop ranting, there are nine other teams to discuss.

By my estimation, four playoff spots are essentially filled, two members of ShowTime 3.o have essentially been eliminated, and the playoffs have essentially started for the remaining four. Paul, Lucas, Cribb, and I have two weeks to fill two vacant spots in this year’s playoffs.

PLAYOFFS?!?!?!?!?!? The weather is cold, anticipation is high, weekly stress is unbearable, and the stakes seem to outweigh the seven feet of snow Buffalo received this week. With all of that in mind, I plan to create a snapshot of each team in ShowTime 3.0. I will display their current standing, the two opponents each will face before the playoffs begin, and how I see this season ending. I normally get off track quickly while creating these posts, so other facts, opinions, and pure rants will most likely occur before this post is over. After all, I worked eight hours today, drove two additional hours, and my beautiful wife should be landing in San Juan any minute with her family. I am cold, tired, desperate, and obviously whiny so expect some rants. I have added a few rants, in case you do not like mine.

1. Deavers (8-3) – Joe and C.W. – Deavers has defined being in the right place at the right time this season. He sits atop a very competitive fantasy football league with the seventh highest point total. This fact was very frustrating to me, until I just factored in some mathematics. Surprisingly, Deavers is averaging a fraction under seventy-three points per game. In this league, seventy-three points can result in a win many weeks. In Week Eleven, only three teams performed beyond that mark. In Week Ten, eight surpassed that point total (one of the two that did not was Deavers, and he won). Five fared better than seventy-three points in Week Nine (Deavers scored 106). You have to be fortunate in fantasy football, and clearly Deavers has; however, scoring an average of seventy-three points per week will allow you to be competitive in most weeks. Now, I am curious. I told you this could become an unorganized rant. When I remove Deavers’ two best scores and two worst scores, he still averages 71.84. After looking more at specifics, and less at one point total of 802.69, I think it is clear that Deavers has a very consistent team and consistency is very important in a game decided by numbers. Deavers’ team has been performing better lately, and appears to have favorable matchups in the next two weeks. He will be a tough, consistent opponent for Joe and myself.

2. Alex (7-4) – Zach and Paul – Alex leads the league in scoring by nearly forty-three points. To compare to Deavers, Alex averages just over eighty-six points per week. He has surpassed Deavers’ average of seventy-three in all but two weeks. Alex also has a loss, when he scored over one-hundred points; Cribb beat Alex 121.79-100.45. When I do the same calculation, removing the two best and two worst scores, Alex’s average rises above eighty-seven points per game. In fact, Alex has only scored over one-hundred points twice. Including those two weeks, Alex has surpassed ninety points six times in eleven weeks. If you have read my previous fourteen posts, you know what I’m about to say even if you are bad at math. Alex has the best team in ShowTime 3.0 led by Andrew Luck and Jordy Nelson. I have said it since the draft, and I do not feel any differently with the playoffs on the horizon. Alex will be a tough matchup for Zach, Paul, and anyone that comes across him in weeks to come.

3. Joe (7-4) – Deavers and Mikey – Joe is second in points scored and third in the standings. This scenario makes perfect sense also. Like Alex, Joe also has a loss when he scored more than one-hundred points. Zach scored 118.10 that week, in his only win so far this season. I would call that loss unlucky. These calculations are taking more time than I was planning to spend and none are really needed to understand why Joe has had success. The lowest score produced by Joe this season was 63.20. Without looking, I would guess that fact leads the league in that stat. Again, very consistent, Joe has earned his spot near the top of the standings. Marshawn Lynch and Antonio Brown have led Joe thus far. I expect some decline in production from those two, but I also expect a little more from Dez Bryant down the stretch. If a member of ShowTime 3.0 wants to beat Joe, they should expect to need eighty points to do so. Joe has only exceeded that amount four times this season.

4. Tov (7-4) – C.W. and Lucas – Tov will play a large role in who makes the playoffs and who will not. Lucas and I both have earned five wins and desperately want and need two more. Back to Tov, and I want to word this section of the post very nicely because I cannot afford Fantasy Karma this weekend. I will be blunt and truthful. Tov won a matchup this season with 39.94 points. He traded Rob Gronkowski for Adrian Peterson, a few days before Peterson was put on the Exempt/Commissioner’s Permission List, in a gamble to improve a weak position on his team at the time. After that trade, he traded for Julius Thomas. Then, he traded away Julius Thomas. His current tight end is Mychal Rivera. There is not much consistent about any of that, except that Tov has been active. Tov has surpassed ninety points only once, and has won a matchup with a total of 39.94 points. Oh, I already mentioned that fact. When I calculate both averages for Tov’s team, both round to seventy points. I would define that as consistently inconsistent. After all, his opponents are averaging just over sixty-eight points. According to the averages, and the fact he won a week with less than forty points, Tov should be 11-0. The current four seed should feel as if he has been robbed.

This was apparently the last time I saved before my palm hit the mouse pad and at least an hour of work was lost. Kids, listen to your teachers and save your work regularly. I was in the zone last night and cannot promise tonight will produce an equivalent post, but here I go. I am skipping to Mikey and Zach, as I type on my iPad. Again, EFF YOU LENOVO THINKPAD L430!

9. Mikey (4-7) – Lucas and Joe – Mikey could also be 5-6 had he played a defense in Week Ten, when he lost by 0.97 points, against Deavers. I eliminated Mikey earlier in this post because he is one game, and 52.47 points, behind the 5-6 teams. If he gets to six wins anything is possible, but Mikey simply needs a lot of help. I just found a fun fact that I did not see last night, sorry Mikey. Mikey lost to Deavers twice this season by a combined 1.83 points. I won’t make you compute 1.83-0.97. In Week Two Deavers won by 0.86, brutal. Crunching the numbers here is pretty simple. When Mikey scores more than eighty-two points, he is 4-0. Obviously 0-7 otherwise. If Mikey can beat Lucas this weekend, and get some help, every game in the NFL will likely be relevant for our league in Week Thirteen. I’m stressing again!

My iPad is saving automatically. Thanks again, laptop!

10. Zach (1-10) – Alex and Cribb – I have sent and received multiple text messages this season that simply read “poor Zach”. This year has been brutal for our competitive, yet lovable loser. You see, Zach is a fan of the Buffalo Bills and Chicago Cubs. He had seen his fair share of brutal! The fact that his opponents have outscored him by 160.75 points, and he has outscored the current fourth and fifth seed teams, is beyond unlucky. Zach’s opponents would surpass Alex as our league leading scorer. Having said that, Zach will be a tough foe for Alex and Cribb. Believe it or not, Zach owns Aaron Rodgers, Calvin Johnson, and will add Josh Gordon to his starting lineup this weekend.

I will now breakdown the teams in the race and include total points, our tiebreaker.

5. Paul (6-5; 745.68 total points) – Cribb and Alex – Paul is averaging 67.79 points per game, which is worst in the league. In fact, he has only scored more than eighty points twice this season. Luckily for Paul, his opponents are averaging 69.79. If you take away those two games over eighty points, his average falls to 60.97. I cannot understand how Paul won four games in the nine games he did not score eighty points, and averaged just 60.97 points. I am being really critical of Paul’s fortunate season, but J.J. Watt has more points than all but three of his players. The only players on his team with more points than Watt are Philip Rivers, Demaryius Thomas, and Golden Tate. Yes, his defenses and kicker have scored less than Watt also. Paul will lose all tiebreakers in the race, as he trails the other three teams by at least 130.2 points. I believe that he also plays the toughest remaining schedule, as Alex and Cribb are the best two teams in the league right now in my opinion. Having said all of that, if Paul can gain just one more win he will likely clinch a playoff berth.

6. Lucas (5-6; 883.12 total points) – Mikey and Tov – Lucas has had to earn his wins this season. The lowest point total he has in a winning weekend is 80.28. Unlike Mikey, he is not undefeated once he gets to that point total however, as Alex beat him 95.19-86.89 in Week Two. Lucas has been very consistent, only accumulating less than seventy-four points twice this season. His success has come from his core of Peyton Manning, Jeremy Maclin, and Randall Cobb. On the other hand, he is relying on Steven Jackson, Trent Richardson, and Terrance West in his backfield. I also see a lot of bad matchups in Week Thirteen. Ahmad Bradshaw’s injury may have been just what the doctor ordered for Lucas, with Richardson likely getting more touches going forward. His core and consistency should keep Lucas a strong contender over these final two weeks.

7. Cribb (5-6; 877.60 total points) – Paul and Zach – I said it earlier and I will say it again. Pay attention kids! When you use pronouns, like it, be specific because no one knows what “it” is in that first sentence. I believe Cribb has the second best team in the league at this very second, even though Jamaal Charles is off to a slow start. Charles, Arian Foster (if healthy), Brandon Marahall and T.Y. Hilton is probably the best combination of position players in the league. Cribb’s inconsistency is at Quarterback (Cutler and Roethlisberger). Cribb is 3-3 when he scores in the seventies. 0-2 when he has performed below seventy points, and 2-1 when he scores above eighty. He has surpassed one-hundred points twice, both victories against Alex. Alex scored more than ninety-three points in both of those losses. I have apologized for my two victories against Cribb in previous posts. This team should be at least 6-5, at the very least.

8. C.W. (5-6; 875.88 total points) – Tov and Deavers – I have rambled enough about myself over the past fourteen posts. I quickly want to say, if we redrafted today two of the top five overall picks, the first drafted Tight End, and probably the fifth or sixth Quarterback selected in that draft reside on my team (Murray, Forte, Gronk, and Brady). My biggest liability this season as been a one armed juggling act at Wide Receiver. I have owned Andre Johnson, Larry Fitzgerald, Reggie Wayne, Josh Gordon, Kendall Wright, Torrey Smith, Rueben Randle, Kendall Wright again, Brandon Lafell, Allen Robinson, Marques Colston, and Anquan Boldin this season. With all of that, I have only scored under eighty-one points three times, yet I have little confidence in regards to clinching one of the last two spots.

Based on those two thousand and sixty-four words, allow me to quickly make my Week Twelve ShowTime 3.0 picks (27-28 overall). At one point, I was 12-3 with ShowTime picks, damn!

C.W., Lucas, Cribb, Joe, and Zach are winners this week, by my estimation. I have been 1-4 most of the past few weeks. I feel most confident about Cribb winning out of those picks. Especially since Charles is going to score a touchdown in five, four, three, two, one…wrong again!

NFL (100-60-1)

Chiefs
Browns
Eagles
Patriots
Packers
Colts
Bengals
Bears
Seahawks
Chargers
Broncos
49ers
Cowboys
Bills
Ravens

When will this “post” end? Wake up kids! See what I did there? “When will this end”, would have been confusing and incomplete. You need to be specific and complete, remember. I got curious again. With all of these averages, I want to calculate the average winning score so far this season. Hold, please, my wife is messaging me from San Juan… Sorry, that average is 84.98, a bit higher than I expected. If we have learned anything from this post of numbers, averages and results have little correlation. A team truly needs a great core of players, a better schedule within the league, favorable matchups, and a lot of things to bounce his or her way. The fantasy season is fun, brutal, and extremely stressful. Buckle up boys, the fun filled weeks of brutal stress is just beginning. THIS IS WHAT I KNOW!

EFF YOU LENOVO THINKPAD L430

I have spent the last four hours of my life constructing a post. About five minutes ago, my palm hit the mouse pad portion of the laptop and deleted half of my post. I will try to recreate the post tomorrow evening while watching football. Give me Kansas City tomorrow and I will post something for Week Twelve tomorrow, if I have it in me again. In a word, pissed!

This Is What I Know – Week Eleven

With only three weeks remaining in our regular season, the standings are as follows.

Standings

Six teams will make the playoffs and four will not.  With points serving as a tiebreaker, The Lannister Men appear to have a grip on any cross-league ties.  Unfortunately for Zach and Mikey, the only two Stark Men to reach 740 points this season, the race to the playoffs seems to be an eight man race.  The fact that Zach and Mikey place first and second in points for their division, but combine for a total of four wins blows my mind.  Every man in this league has games they think they should have won and some games they know they should have lost.  Schedules, bye weeks, injuries, good luck, bad luck, and incorrect assumptions on draft night all play a factor over the season.  For example, my previous matchup against Joe, in Week Four, was the night Tom Brady gave me negative points on Monday Night Football against the Chiefs.  I lost by less than four points.  Most experts advised fantasy players to look else ware at the Quarterback position after that night, and who could blame them.  Tom Brady was struggling but since that night has been a top five Quarterback.  Week Four is a week I believe I should have won!  The following week, I replaced Tom Brady with Ben Roethlisberger.  Brady outscored the Pittsburgh Quarterback by eight points.  That very same week, Percy Harvin scored three touchdowns against me, but all three were called back due to penalty.  I should have lost, as I beat Cribb by less than six points.  After two straight, heartbreaking, division losses, I unexpectedly beat Cribb again this past week.  Arizona’s Defense and Mychal Rivera scored three total touchdowns in a matter of minutes this time around.  Cribb, just like my post after Week Four, I apologize.  We all have these stories that play themselves out over the course of a season.

For the eight in the race, the next three weeks are the only ones that matter.  Week Fourteen is a new season.

For Zach and Mikey, the next three weeks should be the only ones that matter.  Take pride in helping to eliminate competitors, especially since I have already played you both!

Zach, congratulations on your win.  I know you have continued to give full effort during your frustrating season, good work.

Since it worked last week, I wish you all the worst of luck in Week Eleven.

NFL (92-54-1)

Dolphins
Bears
Browns
Seahawks
Panthers
Saints
Redskins
Broncos
49ers
Chargers
Packers
Cardinals
Patriots
Steelers

ShowTime 3.0 (26-24)

I am creating this post before waivers process, so I will provide a few facts and then quickly make my picks tomorrow morning.

cw joe

C.W. vs. Joe – The Dallas Cowboys are on a bye. Joe is without Tony Romo and Dez Bryant. C.W. is without DeMarco Murray. Cam Newton replaces Tony Romo in Joe’s lineup and did not look like Cam Newton last night on Monday Night Football. C.W. traded for Bishop Sankey last night and will have to choose between him and an injured Lamar Miller. These teams will not be at full strength and I expect a close matchup. Me, better matchups and a new choice between Sankey and Jonathan Stewart.

mikey alex

Mikey vs. Alex – Mikey has three players on a bye, while Alex has zero. Alex is currently the number one seed and at full strength. On Tuesday Night at nine o’clock, Alex is projected to win by more than 39 points. Mikey did not pick up a defense in Week Ten, so I feel he may not pick up a kicker in Week Eleven. This matchup seems lopsided, but I will reevaluate before posting. Alex, because he is the best team in the league right now.

cribb tov

Cribb vs. Tov – Cribb is without Jason Witten and Percy Harvin, due to bye weeks. Flacco, Forsett, and Torrey Smith, of the Ravens, are on a bye for Tov. Tov also owns the Ravens Defense. Cribb owns Arian Foster, currently not in his starting lineup and expected to play, who was injured before his bye. Tov traded for Mychal Rivera, who helped C.W. beat Cribb last week. I think a lot will change in this matchup before Sunday. Cribb, because his team is better than his 4-6 record and Foster is now in his lineup.

deavers luca

Deavers vs. Lucas – The only bye week significance in this matchup requires Deavers to pick up a kicker and IDP this week. Peyton Manning has a plus matchup against the Rams, for Lucas. Matthew Stafford has a bad matchup against the Cardinals, for Deavers. Jimmy Graham may make up the difference for Deavers, in a plus matchup against the Bengals. Lucas is projected to win by more that 14 points, but Deavers will close that gap by completing his lineup. I also feel Stafford is under projected. This matchup will be tight throughout the weekend and very important in the playoff chase. Lucas, because of Manning, Cobb, and Maclin.

paul zach

Paul vs. Zach – Zach’s team is confident and healthy, with Calvin Johnson returning from injury. There are no bye week implications. Zach has two open roster spots and is projected to win by more than 16 points. At 9:31 PM on Tuesday Night, Zach will win and outscore Paul in all ten starting positions. That is my slam dunk prediction and THIS IS WHAT I KNOW!

*All fantasy projections are subject to change and I cannot be held responsible for bad predictions or typos, as I do not have an editor or research team.

This Is What I Know – Week Ten

Happy Sunday! I am sorry that I missed my normal post time, as this week at work was a real mess.  The end of the month, in accounting, can be as frustrating as fantasy football.  Please explain to me how the current number one seed, in our league, wins a matchup 39.94 to 22.31. And, please explain to me how 40 points would have won eight teams a matchup last week while Alex destroyed me with nearly 50 points on Monday Night Football.  As frustrating as these facts are, the answers are simple.  Tov was voted “worst team” on draft night, which always predicts a championship contender.  And, Alex was born to be a good friend to all of us, except when he has a clear advantage in anything.  In these cases, our friend becomes an arrogant, pompous, heartless, asshole.

Note to Alex:  I thought all of 15 seconds for a synonym for asshole, but simply could not come up with anything.  All jokes aside, you are a great friend, great fantasy competitor, and I wish you the best of (Andrew) Luck the rest of the season.  I have a particular picture of you that I hope and pray I can share with the World, when I beat you in the playoffs.

Note to Tov:  We all remember you uttering “fantasy isn’t fun anymore” on draft night.  I hope it was fun last week when you became 7-2 scoring less than 40 points and ruining my Slam Dunk prediction.  Fantasy isn’t fun anymore!

If you didn’t read last week, I hated Tov’s team and predicted JJ Watt would outscore all of Tov’s position players.  Justin Forsett was not in his lineup when I made the prediction, but that fact would not have changed my prediction, as I try to be bold.  Obviously, too bold.  Justin Forsett outscored JJ Watt by 0.5 points, the exact total he earned for his solo tackle.

Slam Dunk Prediction

Andy Dalton will throw for 86 yards and 3 interceptions, call it a hunch.  I also have a educated guess that Ben Roethlisberger will throw less than 6 touchdowns, after doing so for two straight weeks.  I also believe starting Romo is a bad idea for the Cowboys.  I would prefer a loss to the Jaguars, rather than losing Romo for the season.  So you want something bold?  I will take the Oakland Raiders to cover the spread against the Denver Broncos.  This is Sunday and the NFL, Oakland is at home, I have only gotten one of these right, so give me Oakland losing by less than twelve.

Kickoff is approaching, so I’m going to hurry the predictions along.

NFL (82-51-1)

Bengals X
Cowboys
Bills
Lions
49ers – I don’t like this pick, but I picked them to represent the NFC in the Super Bowl.
Ravens
Steelers
Falcons
Broncos 34-24
Cardinals
Seahawks
Packers
Eagles

ShowTime (24-21)

No time for a write up of each game this week, so I will provide one fact that supports my pick. Also to differentiate from previous posts, I will wish all of my league mates the worst luck possible!

C.W. Over Cribb – DeMarco Murray is the NFL’s Leading Rusher. The Jaguars are not good at defending the run. Romo is banged up. Media is questioning why Murray has not touched the ball 20 plus times in recent weeks. DeMarco needs to have a big day!

Mikey over Deavers – Deavers’ wide receivers played Thursday Night. AJ Green and Mohamed Sanu scored 3.15 fantasy points. Deavers is still projected to win, as Mikey chose not to start a defense, but I don’t care.

Joe over Zach – I started to pick Zach as my Slam Dunk without looking at his team. I knew Calvin Johnson was back and that he has Aaron Rodgers. Unfortunately for Zach, he is starting Chris Johnson and Bryce Brown at running back.

Tov over Alex – Last week Jeremy Hill scored 21.25 fantasy points against me. This week Jeremy Hill scored 1.15 fantasy points against Tov. Tov continues to receive the luck, granted to the team voted as the worst, as Andrew Luck is on a bye this week.

Lucas over Paul – In my opinion, Lucas has the advantage at nine of our ten starting positions. The largest of these advantages resides at the Quarterback position. Peyton Manning normally rebounds after bad games and he easily may outscore Alex Smith, Paul’s QB, by 10 fantasy points.

THIS IS WHAT I KNOW!

*I am not responsible for bad predictions or typos, as I do not have a research or editing team.

This Is What I Know – Week Nine

I am in an extremely bad mood; you have been warned!

The inevitable occurred just before midnight on Monday, and I’m shocked it took so long.  I almost made it through eight weeks of the NFL season without throwing my plush, Dallas Cowboys, football across the living room.  Nothing is more frustrating than watching your team lose to their biggest rival in overtime AND losing to your Fantasy Football nemesis by 1.44 points because of that outcome.  I have never played tackle football, so I could be wrong, but the two instances below blow my mind (considering you have the NFL’s leading rusher on your team):

  • Your franchise quarterback is in the locker room, injured. You are losing 10-7.  An offensive drive begins on your forty-three yard line.  The league’s leading rusher gets your team to the opposing team’s three yard line in two plays, TWO PLAYS.  The back-up quarterback is allowed to throw the football the following two plays and your team kicks a field goal.
  • Your over-achieving defense does just enough to get you a possession in Overtime, holding the opposing team to a field goal. The league’s leading rusher gains eight yards on first down.  The following three plays are passing plays delivered by your obviously uncomfortable, injured franchise quarterback.  If you did not watch the game, those three passes did not result in a first down.

I do not usually take information from websites while creating these posts, but ESPN’s NFL Power Rankings summed up my frustration much quicker than I just did.

“DeMarco Murray gained an incredible 5.2 yards before contact on his average rush Monday night. Somehow, with Tony Romo injured in an overtime loss, Murray had a season-low 19 rushes.”

I woke up Monday morning confident the Cowboys would take a 1.5 game lead in the NFC East, hoping I would squeak out a win against Lucas, and rise from fourth in the Showtime 3.0 standings.  I went to bed in eighth place in Showtime 3.0 and with Colt McCoy on my television.  Where is that damn plush football?

I warned you, and quite frankly this post may make my mood worse.  May make my mood, say that three times fast! Think of happy things: puppies, my beautiful wife, rainbows, pumpkin beers, sunny days, money, boobies, and good enough I’m ready for Week Nine.  I think Chelsey only reads these posts when I ask her to read them.  Honey, I was referring to Blue-Footed Boobies, DUH!  Gentlemen of 3.0, good luck; I guess…

Blue-Footed-Boobie

Showtime 3.0 (22-18 Overall)

C.W. vs. Alex – I desperately need a win and this battle of friends will be settled on Monday Night Football.  The plush football will be close by!  Both Alex and I are missing key contributors, Matt Forte vs. Jordy Nelson, due to these players being on their bye week.  Replacing those voids will be vital for this week’s result.  Those replacements are Reggie Wayne at Flex vs. Michael Floyd and I would consider those players question marks, at best.  Six total players will be squaring off on Monday Night (Randle and Wayne vs. Luck, Allen, Vinatieri, and D’Qwell Jackson).  I believe I will need at least a fifteen point lead on Monday morning to withstand the plethora of points Alex will gain on Monday Night.  To do so, I need big performances from Brady, Gronkowski, and Murray.  I don’t feel good about this week, so I will side with Alex.  Note:  Reggie Wayne is questionable and may not be in my starting lineup on Sunday.

Mikey vs. Zach – Is it possible for a team to earn their first win with Aaron Rodgers and Calvin Johnson on their respective bye week?  Sure, why not!  The feat seems unlikely, so I expect it to happen.  Mikey and Zach have had nearly the same amount of bad luck this season, and Mikey is missing Alshon Jeffery, Joique Bell, and Matt Ryan.  From here on out, when I say a player is missing just assume they are on their bye week.  Two things stand out for this matchup.  Desean Jackson is under-projected with only 3.93 points, which benefits Mikey.  The other interesting tidbit here is that Philadelphia plays Houston this week and Mikey and Zach own their defenses.  I expect the Eagles to win on the field, so I will side with Zach off of the field.

Cribb vs. Deavers – Let’s point out the “missing” players and get that out of the way.  (Jay Cutler and Brandon Marshall vs. Matt Stafford)  The replacements at the quarterback position are Nick Foles vs. Ryan Tannehill.  I like Nick Foles best, between these two.  I also like that Cribb picked up Ben Roethlisberger this week, just because he knew Deavers needed a quarterback.  Like last week’s vetoed trade story, Cribb took to Twitter to explain himself.  The rest of this matchup is pretty interesting, but Foster and Charles are getting hot.  Cribb owns both.  Those guys paired with Ahmad Bradshaw are simply better than Ellington, Ingram, and Edelman in my opinion.  I’ll take Cribb.

Joe vs. Lucas –  Joe has no one of relevance on their bye, while Lucas is “missing” Randall Cobb, Boobie Dixon, Steven Jackson, and Detroit’s Defense.  Why would I mention Boobie and Jackson, you ask?  They both started for Lucas last weekend when he defeated me.  Joe is projected to win this matchup by more than fifteen points.  I am not sure I have seen that big of a spread this season.  I like Bryant and Brown better than Maclin and James Jones.  I like Lynch and Tate more than Stewart and Richardson.  Both of those likes favor Joe, so I will pick him to win.  Lucas cannot be as happy without Boobie(s), especially if you read my intro.  Note:  If I were Joe, I would be extremely scared of Peyton Manning, Jeremy Maclin, and Seattle’s Defense.

Tov vs. Paul – Tov is “missing” Eddie Lacy, Sammy Watkins, and Julio Jones, while Paul is “missing” Golden Tate and Roddy White, advantage Paul.  That sentence may preview this entire matchup because I hate Tov’s team this week, with the exception of Drew Brees.  Looking at the other side, I only like Philip Rivers, Demaryius Thomas, and JJ Watt for Paul.  I will side Paul, on the right side of your screen.

Paul v Tov

NFL Picks (73-47-1 Overall)

Saints over Panthers

Cowboys over Cardinals (RUN THE FOOTBALL!)

Browns over Bucs

Eagles over Texans

Chiefs over Jets

Bengals over Jaguars

Chargers over Dolphins

Vikings over Redskins

49ers over Rams

Patriots over Broncos

Seahawks over Raiders

Ravens over Steelers

Colts over Giants

Colt McCoy has outperformed my Slam Dunk predictions in a game and a half.  To honor Colt, I will make my Slam Dunk prediction from the state of Texas.  JJ Watt will outscore all of Tov’s position players this week (Cooks, Allen, Gray, Taliaferro, Ertz, and Fitzgerald).  THIS IS WHAT I KNOW!

*All fantasy projections are subject to change and I cannot be held responsible for bad predictions or typos, as I do not have an editor or research team.

This Is What I Know – Week Eight

Where does the time go?  We wait more than eight months each year for draft night and the start of the new fantasy football season.  Seven short weeks later, we are scrambling for playoff positions and searching for that perfect trade to give our team an advantage.  Trades have been the story this week!  One (vetoed) trade went to Twitter, with Cribb asking for a not so random “Fantasy Football Steroid Test”.  The only details I will share from this proposed, accepted, and vetoed trade was that most, not involved, viewed it as unfair and that “HEAVEN Message…” (@id375434) decided to favorite our tweets.  Now, none of us know Ron, the person behind this Twitter handle, but I wanted to give him a shout out in this week’s post.  It appears that his Twitter mission is to favorite random tweets so people will read his Heaven Message.  Since I have already touched on time passing quickly, I decided not to read the passage, but I do know that there is a clear moral behind why this happened.  Guys and gals, make fair trades because HEAVEN Message… is watching!

Capture

Six weeks until six of us are competing in this year’s playoffs, and four of us begin that eight month wait.  That’s right boys, we are nearing crunch time.  I went 1-4 last week, resulting in an overall record of 21-14 in Showtime 3.0 predictions.  Naturally, I blame Chelsey for being off work last Wednesday night.  Wednesday Night Is Post Night!  Let’s do this!  And as always, gentlemen of Showtime 3.0, Good Luck!

C.W. vs. Lucas – Before I preview this matchup, I would like to wish Lucas a belated twenty-fifth birthday!  Everyone has heard of the tradition of folks getting spankings on their Birthday and Alex provided that hazing last weekend.  He beat Lucas by twenty –three points.  You see the problem here, for Lucas, is that Alex came up two spankings short, and it just so happens that I am projected to beat Lucas by two points this coming weekend.  Hopefully, this fact is not a coincidence.  Editing Note: After the fallout earlier in the NFL season, using spanking and beating in the same paragraph was probably a mistake on my part and I apologize.  Thank God I proofread these posts every Thursday morning, before I post.   All jokes aside, Lucas has been my biggest nemesis since he joined our league.  I can only remember beating him once and he always seems to be in my division.  My running backs are much better, but his wide receivers are far superior, as he traded for Jeremy Maclin this week.  Russell Wilson vs. Peyton Manning may be the difference, especially if Manning finds Welker in the end zone.  A matchup with Lucas is always circled on the preseason schedule and feared until the moment Tuesday morning arrives.  I am hoping Thursday Night Football against a division contender slows Peyton down a bit, and I win a close matchup.  This paragraph is entirely too long for me not to pick myself, on the back of Matt Forte and DeMarco Murray.

Mikey vs. Tov – I normally try to avoid trading with the owner I am facing that week, but that theory did not stop these two from a blockbuster deal, earlier this week.  Mikey received Julius Thomas, Cordarrelle Patterson, and DeAndre Hopkins for Julio Jones, Vernon Davis, and Keenan Allen.  My unwillingness to trade with an opponent is based on my belief that the trade will be the difference that week.  This particular trade is very even in my opinion, but I believe Thomas is the best player involved.  Tov clearly has the advantage at quarterback, Brees over Palmer, but because of the trade, especially Thomas, I side with Mikey this week.

Cribb vs. Alex – I will be focusing on these two teams the rest of the season, as Alex is a game ahead of me in the division and Cribb is right behind me in the standings.  I like Cribb this week and this is why:

  • Reggie Wayne is likely out, creating more opportunities for T.Y. Hilton
  • Cribb’s Hilton will narrow Alex’s point total for Luck
  • Cribb’s RB Matchups (Foster vs. Tennessee and Charles vs. St. Louis) (Preferred)
  • Alex’s RB Matchups (McCoy vs. Arizona and Bernard vs. Baltimore) (Not Preferred)
  • Cribb has a great matchup at Tight End (Witten vs. Washington)
  • Cribb also wins at Flex with Ahmad Bradshaw (See bullet point number two)

I think Alex has the better overall team but the matchups favor Cribb in Week Eight.

Joe vs. Paul – Joe wins for the following reasons:

  • Paul owns Philip Rivers, who I expect to struggle vs. Denver
  • Joe owns Tony Romo and Dez Bryant, who I expect to torch the Redskins
  • I like Lynch and Tate much better than McFadden and Martin, at the running back position
  • Joe’s only poor matchup is Antonio Brown vs. Indianapolis and he will have plenty of targets

Dezzie Does Dallas potentially takes a one game lead, in the division, with only five weeks to play.

Deavers vs. Zach – Deavers has a three game losing streak.  Zach has a seven game losing streak.  Something has to give!  Surrender is not in Zach’s vocabulary and he has been trying everything to earn his first victory.  He is third in his division in points and has completed twenty-eight transaction moves so far this season.  Quite frankly, his luck has been horrible.  I personally place the blame on his plan to hold and torture the new league trophy this season.  Maybe that trophy should be given to last place moving forward, as the sculpture must be cursed!  Looking at Deaver’s lineup, I see a lot of injuries.  Vincent Jackson, AJ Green, and Jimmy Graham are questionable.  Andre Ellington and Mark Ingram are probable.  The fact that Deaver’s team is not healthy and scored less than forty points last week has me leaning toward picking Zach.  Aaron Rodgers has a plus matchup against the Saints in a primetime game, and that is enough for me to pick Zach to move to 1-7.

001

NFL Picks (63-42-1 Overall)

Broncos over Chargers

Lions over Falcons

Chiefs over Rams

Texans over Titans

Vikings over Bucs

Seahawks over Panthers

Ravens over Bengals

Dolphins over Jaguars

Patriots over Bears

Jets over Bills

Cardinals over Eagles

Browns over Raiders

Colts over Steelers

Packers over Saints

Cowboys over Redskins

I have only been correct on one Slam Dunk prediction this season.  In other words, if win stats were kept in the same fashion as in Major League Baseball, Colt McCoy and I have the same amount of wins thus far.  After Week Eight, I hope to pass him in the win category and I will use his game, against the Cowboys, to do so.  The Redskins are stout against the run, but come up short against the pass.  I expect the Cowboys to struggle a bit running the ball, take advantage of Washington’s weak secondary, and take command of this game early.  Therefore, DeMarco Murray will not touch the ball as many times and fall short of one hundred rushing yards for the first time this season.  THIS IS WHAT I KNOW!

*All fantasy projections are subject to change and I cannot be held responsible for bad predictions or typos, as I do not have an editor or research team.