Author Archives: John M Rutt

Showtime Fantasy Football Podcast Ep. 2

Who’s a better fantasy prospect, Peyton Manning or Ben Roethlisberger? Is LeVeon Bell going too early? Is Brandin Cooks going to break out? Listen to find out!  For the video version, check out our YouTube page!

Audio Version:

 

Showtime Fantasy Football Hour Episode 1

First test episode of the podcast.

NFL Week 1 Picks Against the Spread

Lines via Las Vegas Hilton

Green Bay @ Seattle (-5.5)

New Orleans (-3) @ Atlanta

Minnesota @ St. Louis (-3.5)

Cleveland @ Pittsburgh (-6.5)

Jacksonville @ Philadelphia (10.5)

Oakland @ N.Y. Jets (-5.5)

Cincinnati @ Baltimore (-2)

Buffalo @ Chicago (-7)*

Washington @ Houston (-3)

Tennessee @ Kansas City (-3.5)

New England (-5) @ Miami

Carolina @ Tampa Bay (-2)

San Francisco (-5) @ Dallas

Indianapolis @ Denver (-7.5)

N.Y. Giants @ Detroit (-6)

San Diego @ Arizona (-3)

Season Record: 0-0-0

*Lock of the Week

 

2014 NFL Season Predictions

NFC

 East

  1. Eagles (10-6)
  2. Redskins (7-9)
  3. Cowboys (6-10)
  4. Giants (4-12)

West

  1. Seahawks (12-4)
  2. 49ers (9-7)
  3. Rams (7-9)
  4. Cardinals (5-11)

North

  1. Packers (12-4)
  2. Bears (10-6)
  3. Lions (7-9)
  4. Vikings (6-10)

South

  1. Saints (12-4)
  2. Tampa Bay (9-7)
  3. Falcons (7-9)
  4. Panthers (7-9)

AFC

 East

  1. Patriots (13-3)
  2. Jets (7-9)
  3. Dolphins (6-10)
  4. Bills (4-12)

West

  1. Broncos (13-3)
  2. Chargers (10-6)
  3. Chiefs (6-10)
  4. Raiders (5-11)

North

  1. Benagls (9-7)
  2. Ravens (8-8)
  3. Steelers (8-8)
  4. Browns (6-10)

South

  1. Colts (10-6)
  2. Texans (9-7)
  3. Titans (6-10)
  4. Jaguars (6-10)

Regular Season Awards:

MVP- Aaron Rodgers

OPOY- Peyton Manning

DPOY- J.J. Watt

OROY- Carolos Hyde

DROY- Aaron Donald

COY- Mike McCoy

Playoffs:

NFC

  1. Saints
  2. Packers
  3. Seahawks
  4. Eagles
  5. Bears
  6. Buccaneers

 

AFC

  1. Broncos
  2. Patriots
  3. Bengals
  4. Colts
  5. Chargers
  6. Texans

 

1st Round (Winners Bolded)

Buccaneers @ Seahawks

Bears @ Eagles

Texans @ Bengals

Chargers @ Colts

 

2nd Round

Bears @ Saints

Seahawks @ Packers

Chargers @ Broncos

Bengals @ Patriots

 

Championship Games:

Seahawks @ Saints

Chargers @ Patriots

 

Super Bowl:

Saints 30 Patriots 27

Super Bowl MVP: Drew Brees

 

 

2014 Four Round Mock Draft

Mock drafts, while fun, are fairly pointless.  There is always someone who skews the results by taking Johnny Manziel in the 3rd round or teams on auto-pick end up allowing user drafted teams to become way too stacked.   However, mock drafts do have there uses if the individuals involved are serious.  They allow you to plan out what type of player you expect to be there when you are picking. Going any further than 4 rounds is fruitless as well, because around this time is starts to be much more about hunches than sound logic.

An anonymous Owner and myself decided to do a 4 round mock draft with the actual draft order for our league.  If some picks look strange, you may want to check who was a Future from last season or our unique rules.  I drafted the Orange teams and the anonymous Owner drafted the blue teams.

Untitled

Three Things I liked:

  1. The amount of really good players available at the end of round 2 and the beginning of round 3
  2. The ability to get an elite running back/wide receiver combo with picks 4-9
  3. Cribb getting Adrian Peterson at 4th overall

Three Things I didn’t Like:

  1. Brandon Marshall going before A.J. Green and Julio Jones
  2. I think Sankey has a lot of upside, but I don’t know if I could take him in the 4th round
  3. Julius Thomas over Morris/Martin/Bernard is a stretch considering the dearth of running back talent

 

Lets Go Bargain Shopping

Fantasy Football is all about finding the best value.  Anyone can draft Adrian Peterson in the first round, but it takes a smart player to pass on a big name player because the same value can be found later in the draft.  Everyone, myself included, is more inclined to draft players who are talked about often on TV broadcasts and in the run-up to the game, but drafting big names doesn’t win you fantasy championships.  Bargain shopping wins you fantasy championships.

In this article I will discuss 1 bargain at the 4 major positions compared to a player that is being over drafted based on a variety of reasons.

Overpriced:  Matthew Stafford

If you do not include Stafford’s amazing 2011 season (5000 yards and 41 TDs) his production has been only been slightly above average.  Over the past two seasons, Stafford has averaged 4808 yards, 25 touchdowns, and 18 interceptions.  The yards total is very good, but the touchdowns and interceptions pose a problem to Stafford’s fantasy value.  The main reason he is overpriced is because he is one Calvin Johnson injury away from being a below average fantasy QB.  Johnson accounted for 15oo yards and 12 TDs last year, while lacking a serious 2nd option in the passing game.  If he goes down with an injury, Stafford’s value plummets.

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2013 ShowTime Fantasy Football Results

As I’ve already mentioned here Draft night is the funnest part of any Fantasy Football season.  The rest of the season is a mix of dread, pain, and brief moments of happiness.  One of my personal favorite parts of draft night occurs after the draft is over.  As a league, we vote on awards based on how everyone drafted.  Winning these awards are basically the kiss of death.  The awards and winners for 2013 were as followed:

Best Team:  Mikey

Worst Team:  Alex

Best Pick in the First 7 Rounds: Mikey- Jimmy Graham- 3rd round

Best Pick after the 7th Round: CW- DeAngelo Williams- 10th round

Best QBs:  Mikey- Aaron Rodgers/Andrew Luck

Best RBs:  CW- Peterson/Jones-Drew/Forte/Williams

Best WRs:  Paul- C. Johnson/D. Bryant/Sanders

Best TEs:  Mikey- Graham/Bennett

Below, the Draft is fully detailed as well as, the regular season standings and the playoff bracket for 2013 ShowTime Fantasy Football League.  Please, everyone leave comments making fun of Jordan for taking Chris Johnson in the 2nd round.  Enjoy.

Blue = Future Picks Yellow = Supplemental Green = Futures from Last Season

Blue = Future Picks
Yellow = Supplemental
Green = Futures from Last Season

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Most Important Part of Fantasy Football

The best thing about Fantasy Football is draft night.  All of the preparation, mock drafts, and conversations with friends all come to a head that night.  Now, it is impossible to predict who will win the league after draft night, but you can usually spot a few trends that will play out over the season.  For example, in our 2013 draft Paul decided not to pick RBs high in the draft due to the risk level, and instead opted to draft elite players at all other positions.  This decision had him chasing running backs on waivers and in trades all season and ended with him trading Calvin Johnson.  Now this plan was flashy and absolutely before its time since many people are now considering a draft strategy similar to this one, but it may not be the most efficient strategy.

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